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Mature Capital: Only Wind Energy!

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Mature Capital: Only Wind Energy!

Mature Capital founded in September in 2022 based in İstanbul. The company’s main focus is Merger & Acquisition Advisory services in Wind Energy in Türkiye. Mature Capital is founded by Habib Babacan, who has 20 years of work experience in wind business in Türkiye, and held various C level, executive and managerial positions in Nordex Group, and Turcas Petrol (investor), and extensive network at every level in Turkish wind business.

In wind transactions, Mature Capital works with its partners for different due diligence works, wind site, micro siting, environmental, permits and legal assessments of the projects, and build the team and working partners according to the client requests. These working partners are both local experts in Türkiye, as well as the representation and local offices of international consulting companies.

In its first year, Mature Capital successfully completed a 25 MW operational wind farm acquisition transaction in 2023. In this transaction, the company facilitated all relations between buyer and seller, direct negotiations and gave technical due diligence services, and conducted and organized various site visits, before and after the transaction. In 2024, the company is working on four different transaction projects at different levels, and targets to successfully complete them.

Mature Capital has a deep expertise in wind market structure, knows how to construct operational, greenfield or brown field portfolio, and has an asset, the company has a direct reach to shareholders of investors, and portfolio owners. Turkish wind market is a fragmented market of 12 GW operational wind farms with an around 200 different investors, and 80 GW of new pipeline of early phase greenfield wind projects with storage.With this market structure, Turkish wind market has an attraction for international investors, and Mature Capital is ready to give services for international investors for their growth in Türkiye.

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Consulting

DNV tapped to help lenders and investors assess USD 40 billion worth of U.S. offshore wind projects

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DNV tapped to help lenders and investors assess USD 40 billion worth of U.S. offshore wind projects

DNV is performing due diligence to enable the financing of eight offshore wind projects on the United States’ Atlantic Coast. The announcement follows news from DNV’s Energy Transition Outlook 2024 report, which forecasts that about 10 GW of fixed offshore wind is set to be installed in the U.S. between 2040 and 2050. While the industry has seen headwinds recently, and the latest Energy Transition Outlook has tempered its overall forecast for offshore wind, projects are still moving steadily forward, as reflected by the robust financing activity in the U.S. The offshore wind projects DNV is assessing collectively represent 13 GW of clean energy capacity, which would increase the U.S.’s total wind power capacity by nearly 9% if they become operational.

The technical due diligence DNV is providing to the financial stakeholders for these offshore wind projects is grounded in sound engineering judgement which is very important for developers, lenders and investors. This methodology is an evolution of the company’s proven approach that has enabled on-time financing for thousands of onshore wind, solar, transmission and battery energy storage projects in the U.S. and Canada.

DNV has also established local, in-house expertise around the intricacies of U.S. project finance and the structures that have emerged since the passage of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), such as transferability. Many stakeholders in the U.S. offshore wind industry are headquartered in Europe and rely upon DNV for its on-the-ground knowledge of the U.S. financing landscape. For these eight offshore wind projects, DNV is providing pre-commitment and construction monitoring due diligence to ensure all stakeholders understand the risks of the project prior to final investment decision and further capitalize on tax credit monetization opportunities from the IRA. These services are delivered within established financing mechanisms and  processes to ensure on-time closing.

“So far, three of the eight offshore wind projects we’re involved with have reached a final investment decision and the balance is making rapid progress towards this milestone. Our customers are now getting steel in the water and creating benefits for local communities,” said Richard S. Barnes, region president for Energy Systems North America. “We’ve learned that the offshore wind projects getting financed and moving into the development and construction stages are the ones where developers can hit narrow installation windows because they’ve identified and mitigated risks around vessel availability, supply chain, and evolving regulatory requirements.

” DNV’s U.S.-based offshore wind team enabled clients to succeed in California’s 2022 offshore auction, providing in-depth assessments of the technical, societal, and environmental risks around offshore wind development in Oregon and Maine, and are addressing barriers on behalf of the industry to accelerate the deployment of high voltage direct current (HVDC) technology. This regional team is backed up by a global network of experts that has assessed 50 GW of offshore wind energy.

“DNV uses our advisory expertise to help offshore wind projects increase performance and minimize risks. Success relies on understanding the dependencies between different parts of the offshore wind value chain – this is why we take a full lifecycle approach to managing risks and reducing costs,” concluded Barnes.

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Energy management systems

Transforming Renewable Energy Management with Senkron Energy

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Transforming Renewable Energy Management with Senkron Energy

As Senkron Energy, we tackle the critical challenges of the modern energy sector, including operational inefficiencies, complexities in managing diverse renewable portfolios, rising costs due to unplanned downtimes, long lead time for equipment supply after downtime, uncertainties in hybrid power plants with storage, and increasing cybersecurity attacks. With our headquarters in Amsterdam, we’re dedicated to driving global energy transformation through innovative digital solutions. Our mission is centered on empowering sustainable energy technologies with data intelligence and industry expertise. Our innovative approach allows our clients to harness AI-driven insights to optimize investment, operation, maintenance, and monetization of their investment contributing to a sustainable future.

We offer a comprehensive products and services tailored to address the diverse challenges of the energy sector. Our solutions are meticulously developed to enhance operational efficiency, improve decision-making processes, and fortify the cybersecurity of critical infrastructure.

One of our flagship offerings is the OnePact which is a Renewable Energy Management Suite (REMS), a cutting-edge platform designed to optimize the performance and management of renewable energy assets. REMS integrates advanced data analytics, predictive maintenance, and real-time monitoring to ensure maximum efficiency and reliability of renewable energy portfolios. By leveraging AI and machine learning, Onepact provides actionable insights that help in minimizing downtime, extending equipment lifespan, and optimizing energy production. This solution not only enhances operational efficiency but also supports strategic decision-making, enabling our clients to achieve their sustainability goals more effectively.

Integrating storage into wind and solar power plants can be challenging, especially when defining the optimum storage capacity for hybrid systems. To address this, we have a simulation model that determines the ideal capacity for grid-level storage investments ensuring maximum efficiency and return on investment.

To address the growing threat of cybersecurity attacks, we offer a robust Cyberpact OT/ICS SOC (Security Operations Center) solution tailored for the energy sector. Our OT/ICS SOC solution delivers real-time monitoring, threat detection, and comprehensive threat intelligence designed specifically for Operational Technology (OT) and Industrial Control Systems (ICS). We ensure the protection of critical infrastructure and the secure operation of energy assets. This proactive approach enhances the resilience of our clients’ operations and safeguards their investments in an increasingly digital and interconnected world

In the realm of cybersecurity, we provide a comprehensive security framework that protects the physical and digital components of critical infrastructure from advanced cyberattacks, ensuring seamless operations and regulatory compliance. As Senkron Energy, we empower your energy operations with advanced technology, paving the way for a more sustainable and secure future

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Energy management systems

Demand/Supply – Renewable energy with guarantees of origin (GO)

Ever since 1999, energy users in Europe have demanded documentation of the origin of the electricity they use, which launched an exponential market development. 470 TWh of renewable energy with Guarantee of Origin were sold and consumed in 2017.
Over the last years, a global market for renewable energy certificates has started to develop and equal tracing mechanisms are available also outside Europe.

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A renewable energy certificate is an electronic document which has the sole function of providing proof to a final customer that a given quantity of energy has been produced from renewable sources. The purpose of the renewable energy certificate system is to enable energy users to choose renewable energy to cover their consumption. This active consumer choice is also meant to create an incentive to increase the production of renewable energy.

In Europe the system for renewable energy certificates is named Guarantees of Origin (GO). One GO equals 1 MWh of total renewable electricity. they regulate the system under the EU renewable energy directive (DIRECTIVE 2009/28/EC) and the EU electricity market directive (DIRECTIVE 2009/72/EC).
Ever since 1999, energy users in Europe have demanded documentation of the origin of the electricity they use, which launched an exponential market development. 470 TWh of renewable energy with Guarantee of Origin were sold and consumed in 2017.
Over the last years, a global market for renewable energy certificates has started to develop and equal tracing mechanisms are available also outside Europe.

Figure 1: Consumption of renewable energy with GO 2001-2018 Q3 (TWh)

The consumption of renewable energy with GO in Europe for Q1-Q3 2018 reached a total of 446 TWh. This represents an increase of 9%, comparing to the same period last year and 47% comparing to the same period in 2016.

Figure 2: Consumption of renewable energy with GO for Q1-Q3 in Europe for the three last years (TWh)

For the last three years (2016-2018), there has been an increasing trend in the consumption of renewable energy with origin gurantee in Europe. Comparing Q1-Q3, consumption of renewable energy from wind has increased 59 TWh, hydro 42 TWh and biomass 23 TWh. For solar, the absolute change is only 16 TWh, but the relative change is very high; 524%.

Figure 3: Change in the consumption of renewable energy with GO for Q1-Q3 in Europe between 2016 and 2018 (%)

Hydropower the leader

Hydropower is the most used source in consumption of renewable energy with GO. In 2017, hydropower covered 70% of GOs. Wind power covered 20% of the consumption.

Figure4: Consumption of renewable energy with GO by source in Europe 2001-2018 (MWh)

During 2018, the production of renewable energy is low due to weather circumstances. This had a direct impact on the issuing of GOs, as the issuing relates to the actual production of renewable energy. Comparing Q1-Q3 2018 with Q1-Q3 2017 shows that hydropower and wind power together decreased by 48 TWh.

Figure 5: Production of renewable energy with GO for Q1-Q3 in Europe for the three last years (TWh)

Norway Case

Norway is the largest producer of renewable energy with GO in Europe. In 2017, Norway has 140 TWh of renewable energy with GO, mostly from hydropower. Norway alone stood for 43% of the total market supply of GOs. Renewable energy production with GO from the five largest producer countries represented 60% of the overall total in Europe. The second largest producing country is Italy.  It has 71 TWh. Italy is also the country with the broadest portfolio variety.

Figure 2: The five largest producers of renewable energy, in 2017 in Europe (MWh)

Forecast

The forecast for Q4 2018 indicates a new situation in the European GO market. The full year forecast for production of GOs in 2018 is 460 TWh. There’s a reduction of 13% from 2017. Comparing with the Q3- update, the production-forecast is up by +10 TWh. The consumption forecast for 2018 show 590 TWh. There’s an an increase of 25% from 2017. Comparing with the Q3- update, forecast increased significantly with +80 TWh.

Figure 5: Consumption and production of renewable energy with GO in Europe including forecast for Q4 2018 (TWh)

The increase renewable energy consumption and the big drop in  production will most probably lead to the rare case of a higher demand than supply.  The market has partly discounted this situation through the price increase during 2018. But it’s the future if the market gap is fully discounted into the prices.

Figure 3: Spot price development for GOs from Nordic hydro in the wholesale market 2008-November 2018

Substantial Increase

The substantial increase in the GO prices during Q1-Q3 2018 was most probably a result of three factors. These are increase in underlying demand,  production reduction of renewable energy due to low wind and sentiment trading. After a long period with increasing prices, the market corrected downwards in Q4. Improved hydro balance can partly explain the price correction. As the underlying demand is continuing to increase the bullish trend is expected to continue. At the same time there are some indications. These are the price levels are difficult to internalize for European electricity suppliers. This might reduce the possibility for a new round of rapid price increase. As per end of November, GOs produced in 2018 from Nordic hydro is traded at 1,20 €/MWh.

The future price expectations for GOs from Nordic hydropower increased along with the spot prices during 2018. 2019-prices are close to 1,70 €/MWh, and the years ahead price slightly above 2019.

Figure 8: Future price expectations for GOs from Nordic hydropower 5th Dec 2017 and 26th Nov 2018 (€/MWh)

 

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